Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.494153 5.184725 5.944239 6.841342 7.871896 9.018646 10.391594
2024-12-22 3.431659 4.305151 5.346641 6.679283 8.338939 10.337867 12.929153
2024-12-29 2.931089 3.956092 5.267269 7.065934 9.468634 12.567861 16.871622
2025-01-05 2.508787 3.615786 5.123978 7.325981 10.457656 14.751919 21.092210
2025-01-12 2.114742 3.235304 4.851913 7.349572 11.109148 16.557505 25.059930
2025-01-19 1.709821 2.763673 4.366265 6.974460 11.110366 17.415681 27.767482
2025-01-26 1.539261 2.616126 4.334330 7.266482 12.141934 19.925136 33.305946
2025-02-02 1.438562 2.561225 4.433827 7.772502 13.572069 23.231761 40.558119
2025-02-09 1.296183 2.410924 4.349631 7.951452 14.470433 25.769120 46.857281
2025-02-16 1.163406 2.255145 4.230108 8.044417 15.220012 28.130677 53.144508
2025-02-23 1.010468 2.037446 3.966390 7.832225 15.377491 29.445118 57.686100
2025-03-02 0.862988 1.806954 3.644812 7.460609 15.174532 30.052916 60.949815
2025-03-09 0.785770 1.708804 3.571877 7.579649 15.972037 32.718292 68.692188
2025-03-16 0.688995 1.555113 3.366211 7.399957 16.143031 34.178397 74.225998
2025-03-23 0.658440 1.539347 3.443948 7.827524 17.643047 38.534891 86.395756
2025-03-30 0.618500 1.496282 3.456745 8.115073 18.880332 42.499988 98.271036
2025-04-06 0.563430 1.409444 3.359883 8.141078 19.536122 45.289102 107.916827
2025-04-13 0.486063 1.256849 3.090510 7.726031 19.115309 45.618502 111.972170
2025-04-20 0.463122 1.235275 3.126970 8.049065 20.491592 50.247144 126.794235
2025-04-27 0.454678 1.249409 3.252057 8.608820 22.524298 56.683161 146.870360
2025-05-04 0.427323 1.209399 3.235908 8.806755 23.673714 61.122535 162.565505
2025-05-11 0.397913 1.159152 3.186224 8.909579 24.591012 65.099337 177.611618
2025-05-18 0.356815 1.069677 3.020043 8.674857 24.578314 66.698724 186.625696